Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.396833 0.461913 0.533935 0.619501 0.718344 0.828900 0.961907
2025-03-09 0.286446 0.372605 0.478513 0.618045 0.796836 1.018058 1.312423
2025-03-16 0.219167 0.308755 0.427469 0.595830 0.828007 1.136468 1.577009
2025-03-23 0.194003 0.291486 0.428719 0.635203 0.937183 1.361779 2.003233
2025-03-30 0.160212 0.254829 0.395331 0.618035 0.960964 1.467636 2.271547
2025-04-06 0.133573 0.223677 0.364077 0.597288 0.973383 1.554237 2.517051
2025-04-13 0.112929 0.198277 0.337275 0.578281 0.983717 1.635692 2.760264
2025-04-20 0.100723 0.184701 0.327119 0.583941 1.032953 1.782036 3.121665
2025-04-27 0.094611 0.180581 0.331912 0.614822 1.127221 2.011267 3.645299
2025-05-04 0.087389 0.173293 0.329973 0.633096 1.200813 2.211978 4.140221
2025-05-11 0.079546 0.163642 0.322337 0.639613 1.253185 2.379731 4.592859
2025-05-18 0.071520 0.152441 0.310239 0.635853 1.285229 2.512747 4.993894
2025-05-25 0.063858 0.141100 0.296821 0.628604 1.311188 2.639953 5.403930
2025-06-01 0.057797 0.132274 0.287371 0.628282 1.351157 2.799019 5.895577
2025-06-08 0.050509 0.119696 0.268483 0.605756 1.342573 2.860381 6.196538
2025-06-15 0.049315 0.120574 0.278285 0.645768 1.470226 3.211559 7.133256
2025-06-22 0.043783 0.110595 0.262963 0.628322 1.470999 3.297597 7.516360
2025-06-29 0.038684 0.100890 0.246979 0.607239 1.460893 3.358672 7.850760
2025-07-06 0.034321 0.092347 0.232570 0.587924 1.452322 3.421686 8.195375
2025-07-13 0.031935 0.088477 0.228823 0.593676 1.503185 3.623266 8.877401
2025-07-20 0.031158 0.088710 0.235169 0.625057 1.619332 3.986685 9.975288
2025-07-27 0.029735 0.086999 0.236395 0.643627 1.705924 4.289167 10.958543
2025-08-03 0.027847 0.083723 0.233166 0.650250 1.763054 4.526465 11.806982